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2024-12-14 08:39:43

For next week's market, my point of view remains unchanged. This is only a small high point, so I will not say the reason for today's fall. Originally, I have been watching that there is a high probability of taking the initiative to step back and bounce, so I will focus on the following issues:Finally, the gold content of the technical small high point has increased, and there is a high probability that the market will stop falling and stabilize next week. This week's rhythm was expected by the news, and it was really difficult to operate. However, on Tuesday, after Lao Liu suggested a small high point, he gave two pressure levels and two support levels when he repaired the rebound on Wednesday. Now it is needless to say that he went up. Let's look at the short-term trend line and the triangular upper rail pressure line.In terms of the performance of individual stocks and sectors, today's plunge is mainly due to the fact that market funds began to vote with their feet after the expected landing of heavy meetings. After all, this market can be speculated for a while by expectations, but the continuous promotion still depends on the face of funds. The most important thing is that hot money and quantitative crazy speculation have diverted a lot of money, and the market needs to seek a new balance through adjustment.


Look at the data first. The number of individual stocks in the two cities rose by 920, while the number of individual stocks fell by 4,410. Yesterday's general increase turned into today's general decline. Remember the plot to lure more investors that I suggested on Wednesday, and it came true after a day. Time-sharing handicap was boring, and it was smashed at the opening, and it was normal to dive again at the end of the session.Secondly, there is something wrong with such an increase in consumption, and junk stocks have gone to heaven. Let me give you a simple example. Recently, traditional consumption has soared, but you can see how the CPI data in November is, which is why the organization is not moving. Another point is that consumer ETFs have basically not followed, how can I put it? The tickets selected and optimized by institutions are not moving, and the hot money has speculated the tickets that institutions do not participate in.So, as I emphasized above, the market can go up for 12 days on expectations, but if it is delayed, it is expected to be exhausted one day. There was a lot of noise about letting water out, but the faucet was tightened, and a lock was added without saying anything. Who can stand it! Today's plunge does not rule out the intention of forcing the above to continue to release water, and see if it will be introduced at the weekend.


Yesterday, Black Thursday was circumvented by the favorable intraday trading and mysterious fund blessing. Unfortunately, the favorable market released by the after-hours heavy meeting not only did not have a high premium today, but triggered the smashing behavior of low opening and low walking. What's the solution? In fact, the policy expectations have long been full, but no actual actions have been seen. It is not surprising that the market chose to die. At least the gold content of the small high point suggested by Lao Liu on Tuesday continues to rise.This is what I said on Wednesday, not today. If you are interested, you can turn to the previous article. I am not a person who has gone up without thinking and boasted too much, but has gone down without thinking and being bearish. My analysis is based on technology, but unfortunately many people don't recognize it. But at least in my place, the timing effect of technical analysis is very good, which is enough.Yesterday, Black Thursday was circumvented by the favorable intraday trading and mysterious fund blessing. Unfortunately, the favorable market released by the after-hours heavy meeting not only did not have a high premium today, but triggered the smashing behavior of low opening and low walking. What's the solution? In fact, the policy expectations have long been full, but no actual actions have been seen. It is not surprising that the market chose to die. At least the gold content of the small high point suggested by Lao Liu on Tuesday continues to rise.

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